Thursday, June 18, 2009

19 June 2009 | China Economic Scan

19-June-2009

China Economic Scan - Your daily update on the Chinese economy.

In this edition: World bank raises China growth forecast to 7.2%, China sees 120% increase in rail investment, China set to grant final approval for first IPO since September, CIC goes on global hiring spree, Chinese stocks rise to 11 month high.

Top 5 headlines

World Bank Raises China 2009 Growth Forecast to 7.2%

  • The World Bank raised its growth forecast for China this year and advised policy makers to delay until 2010 any additional stimulus plan to boost the world’s third-largest economy.
  • China’s economy will expand 7.2% in 2009 from a year earlier, up from a 6.5 percent forecast in March, the Washington-based lender said in a quarterly report released today in Beijing. Stocks gained after the announcement.
  • The World Bank joins Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Morgan Stanley and UBS AG. in raising growth forecasts this year after a 4 trillion yuan ($585 billion) stimulus package triggered record loans and surging investment.

China sees 120% rise in rail investment in first five months

  • China saw a surge of investment in railway construction as the country pledged to increase spending as an effort to buoy the world's third largest economy.
  • In the first five months, China pumped 168.9 billion yuan ($24.7 billion) in fixed-asset investment in railways, up 120% from a year earlier, the Ministry of Railways said in a statement Wednesday.
  • The money included 149 billion yuan for railway infrastructure construction, up 161.8% from a year ago, 3.328 billion yuan for railway upgrading, and 16.55 billion yuan for purchasing trains, according to the ministry.

China Set to Grant Final Approval for First IPO Since September

  • China’s securities regulator will grant final approval by tomorrow for the nation’s first initial public offering since September, two people familiar with the situation said.
  • Guilin Sanjin Pharmaceutical, Zhejiang Wanma Cable and Shenzhen Salubris Pharmaceuticals are the three candidates for getting written permission to sell stock in Shenzhen, supposedly.
  • “The securities regulator is still concerned about the benchmark’s performance,” said Sun Jian, a Shanghai-based analyst at Shenyin Wanguo Securities Co. “The market has been rising this week, which is an indication of sufficient liquidity and confidence.”

CIC goes on global hiring spree

  • China Investment Corp (CIC), the country's $200 billion sovereign wealth fund, said it would start a new round of global hiring to support an expansion of its operations as it seeks new overseas investments.
  • CIC, which currently employs about 200 people, will seek professional staff in 33 categories, including risk management, real estate, infrastructure, commodities and hedge fund investment, according to its website.
  • "We are a new company, so it's natural for us to hire more people to grow," a CIC spokeswoman said. She declined to indicate the exact number of people CIC plans to hire.

China’s Stocks Rise to 11-Month High; ICBC, Shenhua Advance

  • China’s stocks rose, driving the benchmark index to an 11-month high, after the World Bank raised its growth forecast for the country this year and Shenyin & Wanguo Securities Co. recommended buying machinery makers.
  • Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd., the nation’s biggest listed lender, rose +2.6% and China Shenhua Energy Co., the No. 1 coal producer, gained +5.5%.
  • The country’s economy will expand 7.2% this year, up from a 6.5% forecast in March, the bank said. Sany Heavy Industry Co. climbed +4.9% after Shenyin & Wanguo said the company will benefit as property investment rebounds.

Financial Indicators:

Metric Value Point change % change
Hang Seng Index 17,777 -307.94 -1.70%
Shanghai Composite 2,854 43.78 1.56%
Shenzhen Component 11,152 111.14 1.01%
TAIEX 6,145 -51.38 -0.83%
CNY/USD 6.8355 -0.0027 -0.04%

Source: China Economic Scan